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In der Vergangenheit wurden die ordentlichen Einnahmen oft deutlich zu hoch (vgl. z. B. die Jahre 1991 bis 1993, 1996, 2001 und 2003) budgetiert, bzw. konnten die Budgetwerte nur wegen Sonderfaktoren erreicht oder übertroffen werden. Während die Ausgaben meist viel weniger volatil waren, blieben die Einnahmen hinter den Schätzwerten zurück mit dem Resultat hoher Defizite in der Finanzrechnung und einer Verdoppelung der Bundesschuld im Zeitraum von gut zehn Jahren. Diese Entwicklung steht im deutlichen Widerspruch zum Finanzleitbild des Bundesrates, nach dem dieser für die Erhaltung gesunder öffentlicher Finanzen sorgt und der Bundeshaushalt über einen Konjunkturzyklus auszugleichen ist.

Bereits frühere Vorstösse gaben der Sorge um grundsätzlich zu optimistische Einnahmenschätzungen Ausdruck. Verwiesen sei insbesondere auf die Interpellation Leumann-Würsch/Loepfe 02.3551/02.3539, \"Schuldenbremse. Schätzung des Trend-BIP\". Dies hinderte den Bundesrat nicht, in der Botschaft zum Voranschlag 2005 auszuführen, der bei allen Einnahmenschätzungen bestehende Ermessensspielraum sei \"auf der Basis einer realistischen, leicht optimistischen Schätzstrategie ausgeschöpft\" worden (S. 70). Auch der Finanzplan für die Jahre 2006 bis 2008 geht von einer optimistischen Einnahmenentwicklung aus.

Gemäss Finanzhaushaltgesetz soll zwar - nach Genehmigung der Staatsrechnung für die Gesamtausgaben des Vorjahres - der festgelegte Höchstbetrag aufgrund der tatsächlich erzielten Einnahmen berichtigt werden. So sollen Abweichungen einem ausserhalb der Staatsrechnung geführten Ausgleichskonto belastet oder gutgeschrieben und der Fehlbetrag dieses Ausgleichskontos im Verlauf mehrerer Jahre durch Kürzung ausgeglichen werden. Ob dies tatsächlich im finanzpolitisch notwendigen Umfang einmal geschehen wird, ist offen.

Sowohl bei den Prognosen zum künftigen Wirtschaftswachstum (Trend-BIP) als auch bei der Festlegung der Elastizität der Einnahmen bezogen auf die Wirtschaftsentwicklung sind im Interesse einer finanzierbaren Ausgabenentwicklung und des Schuldenabbaus realistisch-konservative Annahmen zu treffen. Auf diese Weise kann die Gefahr einer systematischen Überschätzung des zulässigen Ausgabenplafonds, worauf in den Vorstössen Leumann und Loepfe eindringlich hingewiesen wurde, massgeblich reduziert bzw. ausgeschlossen werden. Sollten sich die realistisch-konservativen Werte in der Realität bewahrheiten, ist die Finanzpolitik selbst für den \"worst case\" gut gerüstet. Sollten sich die realisitisch-konservativen Annahmen hingegen nicht bewahrheiten und positive Werte zustande kommen, können überschüssige Einnahmen für den Schuldenabbau verwendet werden, was auch angesichts der dramatischen Zunahme der Bundesschuldenquote finanzpolitisch ein Gebot der Stunde ist. Eine teilweise Abkoppelung der budget- und finanzplanrelevanten Annahmen für die Einnahmenschätzungen von den übrigen offiziellen Wirtschaftsprognosen (Seco) lässt sich daher insgesamt begründen.

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Der Bundesrat wird beauftragt, den Einnahmenschätzungen für den Voranschlag und den Finanzplan realistisch-konservative Annahmen zugrunde zu legen und damit das Vorsichtsprinzip anzuwenden. Das Finanzleitbild des Bundesrates ist um das so verstandene Vorsichtsprinzip zu ergänzen.

",44272,"20043692_14","Antwort BR / Büro","

Der Motionär weist darauf hin, dass in gewissen Jahren die Einnahmen zu hoch geschätzt wurden. Im Jahr 2001 war diese Entwicklung allerdings ausschliesslich einem Sonderfaktor zuzuschreiben: Die Erlöse aus dem Verkauf von UMTS-Lizenzen wurden überschätzt. Demgegenüber müsste das Jahr 2002 als weiteres Beispiel einer zu hohen Einschätzung der Einnahmen angeführt werden, da der Voranschlagswert nur dank den ausserordentlichen Erlösen aus den Swisscom-Aktienverkäufen erreicht werden konnte.

Wie der Bundesrat bereits mehrfach ausführte, werden die Einnahmenschätzungen nach bestem Wissen und unter Einbezug sämtlicher im Zeitpunkt der Budgetierung vorhandenen relevanten Informationen vorgenommen. Der bei allen Einnahmenschätzungen bestehende Ermessensspielraum wird jeweils auf der Basis einer realistischen Schätzstrategie ausgeschöpft. Dies entspricht auch dem Grundsatz von \"true and fair view\", welcher mit dem neuen Finanzhaushaltgesetz (NRM) an die Stelle des geltenden, obligationenrechtlich geprägten Vorsichtsprinzips treten soll. Per saldo wurden über die letzten dreissig Jahre hinweg die Einnahmen nicht über-, sondern unterschätzt, wie dies der Bundesrat auch in seiner Antwort zur Interpellation Bignasca 00.3050 dargelegt hat. Die vom Motionär geäusserte Vermutung, die starke Erhöhung der Schulden sei auf eine systematische Überschätzung der Einnahmen zurückzuführen, trifft somit nicht zu. Ebenso gilt es zu beachten, dass der Schuldenanstieg auch auf Transaktionen des Bundes mit den SBB, der Post, der Ruag sowie den Pensionskassen des Bundes und der SBB zurückzuführen ist, welche über die Bilanz abgewickelt wurden.

Es besteht kein Anlass zur Annahme, dass die Einnahmen systematisch überschätzt werden und sich daraus auf dem Ausgleichskonto Defizite äufnen werden. Auch in einem Gutachten aus dem Jahre 2001 betreffend Einnahmenschätzungen beurteilt die Konjunkturforschungsstelle der ETH (KOF) das Budgetverfahren des Bundes als grundsätzlich adäquat. Der Abbau von Fehlbeträgen auf dem Ausgleichskonto ist gesetzlich geregelt (Art. 24e FHG). Es besteht für den Bundesrat kein Anreiz, Abweichungen von einer realistischen Schätzung bewusst in Kauf zu nehmen.

Die Anwendung von \"angepassten\" Wirtschaftsprognosen im Voranschlag, die von denjenigen des Seco abweichen, würde zu Inkonsistenz und damit fehlender Transparenz führen. Abgesehen von der Frage, welcher \"angepasste\" Wert als zielführend einzusetzen ist, müsste auch entschieden werden, welche Eckwerte auf der Ausgabenseite unterstellt werden müssten.

Eine zu vorsichtige Schätzung der Einnahmen hätte niedrigere Ausgabenplafonds zur Folge. Gleichzeitig würden sich Guthaben auf dem Ausgleichskonto anhäufen, und das an und für sich schon ehrgeizige Ziel der Schuldenstabilisierung würde übertroffen. Der Bundesrat ist der Auffassung, dass eine strikte Einhaltung der Schuldenbremse ausreichend Raum schafft zur Bewältigung der finanzpolitischen Herausforderungen der Zukunft.

In Bezug auf die aktuellen Prognosen im Voranschlag 2005 und im Finanzplan 2006-2008 basierten die Schätzungen auf der Erfahrung, dass konjunkturelle Aufschwünge in der Vergangenheit systematisch unterschätzt wurden, wie dies auch in der Antwort des Bundesrates zur Motion der SP-Fraktion 03.3665 ausgeführt wird. Die \"optimistischen\" Schätzungen befinden sich zwar am oberen Rand, aber innerhalb einer erwarteten realistischen Bandbreite, welche die nach bestem Wissen und Können ermittelten Konjunkturprognosen widerspiegelt.

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funtauna","party_source_prefix","Funtauna","age","Vegliadetgna","section_mandate","Mandat","section_personal","Persunal","section_contact","Contact","section_also_active","Er activ en","section_references","Referenzas & funtauna","function","Funcziun","Partida","parliamentary_group","Fracziun","parliament","Parlament","electoral_district","Circul electoral","chamber_sector","Chombra / sectur","seat_no","Numer da sez","parliament_page","Pagina dal parlament","official_profile","Profil uffizial","gender","Schlattaina","born","Naschì","died","Mort","marital_status","Stadi civil","occupation","Professiun","language","Lingua","email","E-mail","phone","Telefon","address","Adressa","website","Website","wikidata","Wikidata","source_body","Gremi da funtauna","source_updated","Funtauna actualisada","record_updated","Registraziun actualisada","first_imported","Emprim importà","section_votes","Cumportament da votar","no_votes","Naginas vuschs registradas.","result","Resultat","tally_yes","Gea","tally_no","Na","tally_abstention","Absten.","tally_absent","Absent","voting_untitled","Votaziun senza titel","vote_unknown","—","showing","Mussar","of","da","pager_prev","Enavos","pager_next","Enavant","pagination","Paginaziun","view_all_votes","Mussar il cumportament da votar cumplet","data_source","Datas","meeting","Sesida","section_access_badges","no_access_badges","Naginas cartas d'access emessas.","badge_type_fallback","Carta d'access","badge_type_lobbyist","Lobbist","badge_guest_unknown","Giast senza num","badge_since","dapi","badge_until","fin","view_all_access_badges","Mussar tuttas cartas d'access","section_interests","Colliaziuns d'interess","no_interests","Naginas colliaziuns d'interess registradas.","interest_untitled","Colliaziun d'interess senza num","interest_ex_officio","d'uffizi","interest_paid","Pajà","interest_unpaid","Nunpajà","interest_payment_unknown","interest_declaration","Decleraziun","interest_website","Website da l'organisaziun","interest_since","interest_until","view_all_interests","Mussar tuttas colliaziuns d'interess","section_contributions","no_contributions","Naginas contribuziuns registradas.","contrib_role_unknown","Participaziun","contrib_target_affair","Fatschenta","contrib_target_meeting","contrib_target_group","Gruppa","contrib_target_session","Sessiun","contrib_target_news","Novitads","contrib_target_unknown","Contribuziun","view_all_contributions","Mussar tuttas contribuziuns","contrib_number_prefix","Nr.","contrib_source","Funtauna uffiziala","section_speeches","no_speeches","Nagins discurs registrads.","speech_untitled","speech_type_fallback","speech_number_prefix","speech_agenda","speech_detail","Discurs entir","speech_transcript","Protocol dal pled","speech_audio","Audio","speech_video","Video","view_all_speeches","Mussar tut ils discurs","section_memberships","no_memberships","Naginas commembranzas registradas.","membership_type_fallback","Gremi","membership_untitled","Gremi senza num","membership_role_fallback","Commember","membership_source","membership_since","membership_until","membership_current","en curs","view_all_memberships","Mussar tuttas commembranzas","section_images","Maletgs","no_images","Nagins maletgs disponibels.","view_all_images","Mussar tut ils maletgs","image_current","Actual","image_version","Versiun","image_since","image_until","image_source","image_oparl","OParl","image_full","Ecran entir","image_open","Avrir il maletg","image_close","Serrar","image_prev","Maletg precedent","image_next","Maletg proxim","image_untitled","Maletg","controls_label","Tschertgar, filtrar ed urdinar","controls_search","Tschertga","controls_search_placeholder","Tschertgar…","controls_search_submit","Tschertgar","controls_sort","Urdinar tenor","controls_sort_asc","Ascendent","controls_sort_desc","Descendent","controls_results","Resultats","controls_clear","Reponer","controls_more_options","Dapli opziuns da filtrar e tschertgar","controls_fewer_options","Damain opziuns","sort_begin_date","Cumenzament","sort_end_date","Fin","sort_name","Num","facet_all","Tuts","facet_yes","facet_no","facet_payment","Indemnisaziun","facet_body","facet_date_from","Da","facet_date_to","sort_voting_date","Data","sort_voting_title","Titel","facet_vote","Vusch","vote_yes","vote_no","vote_abstention","Abstenziun","sort_date_start","Data dal discurs","sort_date_end","Data da fin","facet_has_video","Cun video","sort_begin","sort_end","sort_group_name","sort_active","facet_type","Tip","facet_active","facet_party","facet_group","facet_gender","facet_chamber","Chombra","chamber_both","Omadus","facet_deceased","sort_firstname","Prenum","people_title","no_people","Naginas persunas chattadas.","controls_per_page","Per pagina","facet_country","Pajais","facet_electoral_district","country_che","Svizra","country_lie","Liechtenstein","also_active_in","controls_search_placeholder_people","Tschertgar persunas…","controls_search_placeholder_alignment","Tschertgar commembers…","controls_search_placeholder_memberships","Tschertgar commembranzas…","controls_search_placeholder_interests","Tschertgar colliaziuns d'interess…","controls_search_placeholder_organizations","Tschertgar organisaziuns…","controls_search_placeholder_votes","Tschertgar vuschs…","controls_search_placeholder_access_badges","Tschertgar cartas d'access…","controls_search_placeholder_contributors","Tschertgar contribuziuns…","controls_search_placeholder_speeches","Tschertgar discurs…","controls_search_hint_people","Tschertga nums, lieu e numer postal.","controls_search_hint_groups","Tschertga num, abreviaziun e descripziun.","controls_search_placeholder_groups","Tschertgar cumissiuns e gruppas…","controls_search_hint_organizations","Tschertga il num da l'organisaziun.","controls_search_hint_agendas","Tschertga titel, descripziun, numer e categoria.","controls_search_placeholder_agendas","Tschertgar tractandas…","controls_search_hint_alignment","Tschertga il num dal commember confruntà.","controls_search_hint_memberships","Tschertga il num da la gruppa/dal gremi, la funcziun ed il tip da commembranza.","controls_search_hint_interests","Tschertga il num da l'organisaziun, la funcziun e la fracziun.","controls_search_hint_votes","Tschertga il titel da la votaziun ed il titel da la fatschenta.","controls_search_hint_access_badges","Tschertga il num e l'organisaziun dals giasts.","controls_search_hint_contributors","Tschertga il titel da la fatschenta.","controls_search_hint_speeches","Tschertga il text dal discurs.","controls_sort_status","Urdinà tenor {field}, {direction}","sort_affair_date","Data da la fatschenta","sort_role","Rolla","sort_affair_type","Tip da fatschenta","sort_affair_number","Numer da la fatschenta","sort_valid_from","Valaivel a partir da","sort_valid_to","Valaivel fin","sort_version","facet_latest","Il pli nov","gender_f","Feminin","gender_m","Masculin","gender_d","Divers","lang_de","Tudestg","lang_fr","Franzos","lang_it","Talian","lang_rm","Rumantsch","lang_en","Englais","lang_es","Spagnol","bodies_title","affairs_title","no_bodies","Naginas instituziuns chattadas.","facet_has_parliament","Cun parlament","sort_canton","Chantun","sort_position","Successiun","sort_population","Populaziun","controls_search_placeholder_bodies","Tschertgar instituziuns…","controls_search_hint_bodies","Tschertga num, chantun e clav.","body_population","Abitants","body_seats","Sezs","controls_no_results","Nagins resultats per tia tschertga.","controls_filter_search","controls_loading","Chargiar resultats…","body_section_profile","Profil","body_has_parliament","Ha in parlament","body_languages","Linguas","body_seats_legislative","Sezs (legislativa)","body_executive","Executiva","body_seats_executive","Sezs (executiva)","body_consultations","Consultaziuns","body_elections_votings","Elecziuns & votaziuns","body_flag","Bandiera","body_key_label","Clav dal gremi","body_source_lang","Lingua da funtauna","body_people_directory_title","Tuttas persunas da questa instituziun","body_composition_title","Cumposiziun actuala","body_chambers_title","Chombras","body_votings_title","no_votings","Naginas votaziuns registradas.","controls_search_placeholder_votings","Tschertgar votaziuns…","controls_search_hint_votings","body_affairs_title","no_affairs","Naginas fatschentas registradas.","affair_untitled","Fatschenta senza titel","affair_long_title","Titel cumplet","affair_number","Numer","affair_official_record","affair_external_id","ID externa","affair_agenda_section","Tractandas","controls_search_placeholder_affairs","Tschertgar fatschentas…","controls_search_hint_affairs","Tschertga il titel e'l numer da la fatschenta.","sort_affair_title","facet_state","Status","view_all_votings","Mussar tuttas votaziuns","view_all_affairs","Mussar tuttas fatschentas","external_link","Colliaziun externa","docs_title","docs_loading","Tschertgar documents…","section_docs","no_docs","Nagins documents.","view_all_docs","Mussar tut ils documents","controls_search_placeholder_docs","controls_search_hint_docs","Tschertga num e categoria.","facet_category","Categoria","facet_format","Format","facet_lang","facet_case","Sensibel a maiusclas","facet_word","Pled entir","facet_match_on","facet_match_off","section_events","no_events","Nagins eveniments registrads.","view_all_events","Mussar la cronologia cumpletta","controls_search_placeholder_events","Tschertgar eveniments…","controls_search_hint_events","Tschertga titel, actur e detagls.","facet_actor_type","Tip d'actur","event_untitled","Eveniment","texts_title","texts_loading","Tschertgar texts…","section_texts","no_texts","Nagins texts.","view_all_texts","Mussar tut ils texts","controls_search_placeholder_texts","controls_search_hint_texts","Tschertga il tip ed il text.","sort_type","text_untitled","Text","facet_position_country","facet_position_canton","facet_position_city","Citad","facet_position_commune","Vischnanca","facet_position_other","Auter","votings_title","voting_result_section","voting_decision","Decisiun","voting_meaning_yes","In gea munta","voting_meaning_no","In na munta","voting_affair","voting_chart_title","Co els han votà","voting_chart_alt","Plan dals sezs da {count} commembers, colurà tenor {mode}. {summary}","voting_table_alt","Tabella da co {count} commembers han votà, ina lingia per commember, cun lur partida e fracziun.","chart_export","Exportar","chart_export_title","Exportar il diagram","chart_export_failed","Export betg reussì.","chart_exporting","Exportar…","chart_download","Telechargiar","chart_close","chart_fullscreen","chart_title","chart_title_ph","Titel opziunal","chart_subtitle","Suttitel","chart_subtitle_ph","Suttitel opziunal","chart_colors","Colurs & etichettas","chart_color_for","Colur per","chart_label_for","Etichetta per","chart_reset","chart_order","chart_output","Output","chart_format","chart_theme","Design","chart_theme_light","Cler","chart_theme_dark","Stgir","chart_size","Grondezza","chart_options","Opziuns","chart_show_legend","Mussar la legenda","chart_transparent","Fund transparent","chart_interactive","Interactiv","chart_credits","Indicaziun da la funtauna","voting_chart_no_votes","voting_chart_seats","sezs","voting_chart_no_seatmap","Naginas datas dals sezs disponiblas.","voting_chart_col_person","Persuna","voting_chart_col_party","voting_chart_col_group","voting_chart_col_vote","voting_chart_by_party","Vusch tenor partida","voting_chart_by_party_seats","Sezs tenor partida","voting_chart_colour_by","Colurar ils sezs tenor","voting_chart_majority","Maioritad","voting_chart_edit","Modifitgar & exportar","voting_chart_seat_note","Las posiziuns dals sezs èn illustrativas, betg la disposiziun reala da la chombra. Avra l'editur per reorganisar las colurs, las etichettas e la successiun, ed exportar.","speeches_title","speeches_loading","speech_person","Uratur","speech_body","Instituziun","speech_affair","speech_meeting","groups_title","no_groups","Naginas gruppas chattadas.","group_untitled","Gruppa senza titel","section_meetings","no_meetings","Naginas sesidas registradas.","view_all_meetings","Mussar tuttas sesidas","meetings_title","meeting_untitled","meeting_upcoming","Vegnenta","facet_time","Cura","facet_upcoming","facet_past","Passada","group_abbreviation","Scursanida","group_description","Descripziun","group_official_record","Pagina uffiziala","group_contact","member_unknown","section_votings","interests_title","interest_details","Detagls","interest_person","Declarà da","interest_body","Gremi concedent","interest_role","interest_type","interest_group","interest_place","Lieu","interest_period","Perioda","meeting_details","meeting_type","meeting_state","meeting_number","meeting_location","meeting_period","meeting_group","meeting_body","group_type","description","controls_search_placeholder_meetings","Tschertgar sesidas …","controls_search_hint_meetings","Num, lieu u descripziun","section_agendas","no_agendas","Naginas tractandas.","view_all_agendas","Mussar tuttas tractandas","agenda_untitled","speech_speaker_unknown","video","doc_untitled","Document","doc_body","doc_affair","doc_meeting","doc_agenda","section_contributors","Contribuents","no_contributors","Nagins contribuents.","view_all_contributors","Mussar tut ils contribuents","sort_number","topics_title","Ils pleds ils pli duvrads","topics_intro","Ils pleds che questa persuna dovra il pli savens en ses discurs, senza ils pleds da farsa frequents. La grondezza da la plattina mussa quant savens in pled vegn duvrà.","topics_all_time","Total il temp","topics_last_4y","Ils davos 4 onns","topics_last_8y","Ils davos 8 onns","topics_from","topics_to","topics_speeches","discurs","topics_words","pleds (filtrads)","topics_distinct","pleds distincts","topics_uses","utilisaziuns","topics_alt","Charta d'arber dals {count} pleds ils pli duvrads, la grondezza tenor la frequenza. {ctx}","topics_table_alt","Tabella dals {count} pleds ils pli duvrads e quant savens mintgin vegn duvrà. {ctx}","topics_table_toggle","Mussar sco tabella","topics_table_word","Pled","topics_empty","Nagins discurs cun text utilisabel en questa perioda. Emprova d'engrondir il rom.","loyalty_title","Fidaivladad da fracziun","loyalty_subtitle","Part da las vuschs ch'in commember dat cunter la lingia da maioritad da sia fracziun (pli aut = pli independent). Las abstenziuns valan sco posiziun.","loyalty_axis","Quota da divergenza: part da las vuschs cunter la atgna fracziun","loyalty_dissent","divergenza","loyalty_ballots","vuschs","loyalty_empty","Naginas vuschs en questa perioda cumplenischan las valurs limita per in punctual da fidaivladad. Engrondescha il rom.","loyalty_chart_alt","Diagram da svarm d'avieuls da la quota da divergenza da {count} commembers, in punct per commember, colurà tenor partida. {ctx}","loyalty_table_alt","Tabella da {count} commembers cun lur vuschs, divergenzas e quota da divergenza. {ctx}","loyalty_col_member","loyalty_col_party","loyalty_col_group","loyalty_col_ballots","loyalty_col_dissents","Cunter","loyalty_col_rate","Divergenza","loyalty_from","loyalty_to","loyalty_scale","Scala","loyalty_scale_log","Log","loyalty_scale_linear","Linear","loyalty_filters","Filters","cohesion_title","Coesiun da la fracziun","cohesion_hint","index d'accordanza mesaun (1 = unanim)","section_alignment","Proximitad da votaziun","no_alignment","Betg avunda vuschs cuminaivlas per cumparegliar.","view_all_alignment","Mussar la proximitad da votaziun cumpletta","alignment_agreed_of_shared","concordant en {agreed} da {shared} vuschs cuminaivlas","sort_agreement","Accordanza","sort_shared","Vuschs cuminaivlas","facet_min_shared","Min. cuminaivlas","min_shared_10","≥ 10","min_shared_20","≥ 20","min_shared_50","≥ 50","min_shared_100","≥ 100","section_body_alignment","body_alignment_subtitle","Co ils commembers da questa chombra votan in relaziun a l'auter, sin basa da las vuschs ch'els han cuminaivel. Sin la charta sesan commembers che votan a moda sumeglianta datiers in a l'auter, ed adversaris dalunga. Las colurs represchentan las partidas, uschè che blocs e coaliziuns cumparan sco cluster. La grilia mussa l'accordanza media tranter mintga pèr da partidas (la diagonala è la coesiun interna da mintga partida).","alignment_from","alignment_to","alignment_view","Vista","alignment_view_scatter","Charta","alignment_view_heatmap","Grilia da las partidas","alignment_empty","Betg avunda vuschs en quest rom per construir il model.","alignment_window_note","Il pli expressiv entaifer ina suletta perioda legislativa: il model cumpareglia ils commembers sin basa da las vuschs ch'els han cuminaivel. Sche'l rom cumpiglia in'elecziun u ina midada da cumposiziun, sa cuvran commembers cun mandats differents apaina, e las posiziuns daventan main cumparegliablas.","alignment_no_parties","Naginas partidas da cumparegliar en quest rom.","alignment_scatter_alt","Diagram da dispersiun da {count} commembers, plazzads tenor la sumeglientscha da lur vuschs, colurà tenor partida. {ctx}","alignment_pairs","pèrs","alignment_heatmap_note","Mintga cella è l'accordanza media tranter ils commembers da las duas partidas (diagonala = coesiun interna d'ina partida). ± è il rom da confidenza da 95% e n il dumber dals pèrs da commembers che stattan davos. In pitschen rom sur blers pèrs munta che la proximitad è bain fundada; in rom vast munta be in indizi.","alignment_heatmap_alt","Grilia da l'accordanza media da votar tranter {count} partidas. {ctx}","alignment_members_heading","Commembers","alignment_members_table_alt","Tabella da {count} commembers cun lur accordanza cun la chombra e cun la atgna partida. {ctx}","alignment_col_member","alignment_col_party","alignment_col_votes","alignment_col_chamber","Proxim a la chombra","alignment_col_party_align","Entaifer la partida","alignment_zoom_in","Zoom en","alignment_zoom_out","Zoom or","alignment_zoom_reset","Reponer il zoom","alignment_filters","section_lobby","Rait da lobby","lobby_subtitle","Las organisaziuns ch'ils commembers da questa chombra declaran en lur register d'interess, e nua che questas colliaziuns sa cruschan. En la rait èn ils commembers punct (colurads tenor partida) e las organisaziuns che dus u dapli commembers dividan èn quaders. Commembers che dividan las medemas organisaziuns sa tiran ensemen. La partiziun mussa quantas mandats èn pajads u nunpajads, e tgi che ha ils pli blers.","lobby_empty","Nagins interess declarads per questa chombra en quest rom.","lobby_no_shared","Naginas organisaziuns vegnan dividas da dus u dapli commembers qua. Vesair la partiziun.","lobby_network_alt","Grafic da rait cun {members} commembers e las {orgs} organisaziuns ch'els dividan, colliads tras interess declarads. {ctx}","lobby_mandates","mandats","lobby_members_tied","commembers","lobby_unknown","Nunenconuschent","lobby_org_node","Organisaziun","lobby_payment_heading","Mandats pajads vs. nunpajads","lobby_top_orgs","Organisaziuns las pli dividas","lobby_top_members","Commembers tenor mandats","discussion_title","Profils da discurs","discussion_intro","Nua ch'ils commembers sesan sin in ax latent, derivà sulettamain dals pleds ch'els dovran en lur discurs (scalaziun Wordfish).","discussion_calculating","Scalar ils discurs…","lobby_calculating","Calcular la rait da lobby…","discussion_error","La scalaziun dals discurs n'ha betg pudì vegnir calculada.","discussion_converged","Il model ha convergì","discussion_not_converged","Il model n'ha betg cumplettamain convergì. Legia las posiziuns cun spezial precauziun.","discussion_members_scored","Commembers valitads","discussion_vocab","Vocabulari","discussion_window","Fanestra da temp","discussion_show_all","discussion_show_reliable","Mo ils fidads","discussion_methodology","Co quai vegn calculà","discussion_range_label","Rom da temp","discussion_range_1y","1 onn","discussion_range_2y","2 onns","discussion_range_4y","4 onns","discussion_range_8y","8 onns","discussion_plot_alt","Diagram da svarm d'avieuls da {count} commembers plazzads lung in ax da la tscherna dals pleds, in punct per commember. {ctx}","discussion_plot_caption","Mintga punct è in commember, plazzà tenor ils pleds ch'el dovra en ses discurs. Commembers che dovran ils medems pleds caracteristics sesan datiers in a l'auter; commembers che discurran fitg differentamain sesan dalunga. La posiziun d'in commember na vegn pia betg attribuida da nus; ella resulta da co el discurra propi. Per exempel: tgi che di adina «taglia», «budget» e «expensas» stat dalunga da tgi che di surtut «asil», «cunfin» ed «integraziun». Passa cun il mieus sur in punct per ils detagls. Puncts emplenids han avunda text da discurs per ina plazzada fidada; roncs vids han discurrì memia pauc, lur posiziun è da leger cun precauziun.","discussion_empty","Nagins discurs èn disponibels per quest parlament, uschè ch'ils commembers na pon betg vegnir plazzads sin l'ax. Questa scalaziun legia ils pleds ch'ils commembers discurran propi, e'l set da datas cuntegna protocols da discurs mo per pauc parlaments: las chombras federalas ed intgins chantuns sco Berna, Basilea-Citad u Son Gagl. Ti pos er empruvar in rom da temp pli lung survart.","discussion_empty_sparse","I dat memia pauc text da protocol da discurs per quest parlament per plazzar ses commembers sin l'ax. Emprova in rom da temp pli lung survart.","discussion_pole_a","In pol","discussion_pole_b","Auter pol","discussion_col_party","discussion_key_filled","Avunda text (fidà)","discussion_key_ring","Sut la limita da pleds (pauca segirezza)","discussion_align_title","Suonda l'ax la partida?","discussion_align_hint","Quant da la dispersiun da las posiziuns vegn declerà tras l'appartegnientscha a la partida (η²): 100% = las partidas èn perfetgamain separadas, ~0% = la partida na di nagut.","discussion_align_strong","las partidas èn cleramain separadas","discussion_align_moderate","las partidas èn per part separadas","discussion_align_weak","la partida declera l'ax apaina","discussion_poles_title","Da tge ch'è fatg l'ax","discussion_poles_hint","Ils pleds che tiran ils commembers il pli ferm vers mintga pol. L'ax munta insatge pir cur che ti legias quels. Sia direcziun è arbitrara.","discussion_no_party","Nagina partida","discussion_col_name","discussion_col_position","Posiziun","discussion_col_words","Pleds","discussion_col_speeches","discussion_low_confidence","pauca segirezza","discussion_table_title","discussion_table_alt","Tabella da {count} commembers cun lur posiziun sin l'ax da la tscherna dals pleds. {ctx}","discussion_read_title","Co leger quai","discussion_read_direction","La direcziun da l'ax è arbitrara: Wordfish chatta la separaziun, betg tge vart ch'è «sanester» u «dretg». Legia ils pols dals pleds per vesair tge che mintga vart munta.","discussion_read_uncertainty","Las posiziuns èn standardisadas, la dispersiun è pia ina convenziun, betg ina distanza reala. Bars d'errur pli vasts (e puncts vids) muntan main segirezza, na surinterpretescha pia betg quels commembers.","discussion_read_confound","Il stil da discurs reflectescha la rolla uschè bain sco l'ideologia: presidents da cumissiun, ministers ed uraturs frequents pon arrivar sin in pol pervia da quai ch'els fan, betg mo pervia da quai ch'els crain.","organizations_title","organizations_none","Naginas organisaziuns.","org_members","org_mandates","org_bodies","gremis","org_members_heading","org_members_table_alt","Tabella da {count} commembers cun lur partida, gremi, rolla, pajament e perioda. {ctx}","org_no_members","Nagins commembers.","org_col_member","org_col_party","org_col_body","org_col_role","org_col_payment","Pajament","org_col_period","sort_members","sort_mandates","Mandats","interest_unknown","lobby_panel_person","Organisaziuns declaradas","lobby_panel_org","Commembers cun quest mandat","lobby_table_heading","Tgi è collià cun tge","lobby_table_explain","La matrix cumpletta marchescha mintga commember cunter mintga organisaziun dividida: in punct per colliaziun declarada, la vista cumpletta da tgi ch'è collià cun tge.","lobby_table_large","Per questa chombra è quai","lobby_table_cells","cellas","lobby_table_show","Mussar la tabella","lobby_table_alt","Tabella che marchescha mintgin dals {count} commembers cunter las {orgs} organisaziuns cun las qualas els èn colliads, in punct per colliaziun declarada. {ctx}","lobby_select_hint","Tscherna in commember u ina organisaziun per vesair sias colliaziuns.","lobby_filters","lobby_error","La rait da lobbying n'ha betg pudì vegnir calculada.","lobby_clear_selection","Annullar la selecziun","close","not_found_person","Persuna betg chattada","not_found_body","Parlament betg chattà","not_found_affair","Fatschenta betg chattada","not_found_group","Cumissiun u gruppa betg chattada","not_found_voting","Votaziun betg chattada","not_found_meeting","Sesida betg chattada","not_found_interest","Interess betg chattà","not_found_organization","Organisaziun betg chattada","not_found_text","Text betg chattà","not_found_doc","Document betg chattà","not_found_speech","Discurs betg chattà","not_found_hint","I na dat nagina endataziun cun l'ID {id}. Ella è forsa vegnida allontanada, u la colliaziun è surannada.","not_found_back","Enavos a la survista","about","Davart","faq","FAQ","section_title","section_title_bodies","section_title_affairs","section_title_votings","section_title_texts","section_title_docs","section_subtitle_search","section_subtitle_discussion",{"_1601":1602,"_1619":789,"_1620":1621,"_1622":1623,"_1624":975,"_1625":549,"_1606":351,"_79":553,"_1626":556,"_1608":684,"_1627":1628,"_1629":760,"_1630":311,"_75":321,"_1604":461,"_19":331,"_77":559,"_82":341,"_1631":1083,"_1632":1215,"_1633":1250,"_1634":1215,"_1635":1636,"_1637":1215,"_1638":1639,"_1640":549,"_1641":351,"_1642":1215,"_1643":1623,"_1644":553,"_1609":428,"_1645":361,"_1214":1215,"_1646":667,"_1227":1215,"_73":564,"_1647":1436,"_1648":1293,"_1649":1331,"_1650":1628,"_1651":1420,"_1610":371,"_1652":1412,"_1653":1215},"section_switcher",{"_1599":1600,"_1601":1602,"_1603":311,"_71":505,"_75":321,"_1604":461,"_1605":396,"_1606":351,"_82":341,"_1607":331,"_1608":361,"_1609":428,"_1610":371,"_1611":1612,"_1613":1614,"_1615":1616,"_1617":1618},"section_title_speeches","section_title_groups","section_title_interests","section_title_meetings","section_title_organizations","label_section","Secziun","home","Partenza","people","affairs","groups","speeches","documents","interests","meetings","organizations","group_parliament","Acturs","group_proceedings","Activitads","group_records","Actas","group_lobbying","Lobbying","search","eyebrow","Datas davart {{name}}","overview","Survista","personal_data","votes","memberships","access_badges","Lobby","images","members","texts_overview","text_details","docs_overview","doc_details","votings_overview","Votaziun","voting_details","voting_diagram","Diagram","voting_tally","speeches_overview","speech_details","groups_overview","contributions","interests_overview","meetings_overview","vocabulary","loyalty","alignment","lobby","discussion","organizations_overview","org_details",{"_1711":1712,"_1713":1714,"_1655":1715,"_262":1716},"intro",{"_1657":1658,"_1659":1660,"_1661":1662,"_1663":1664,"_1665":1666,"_1667":1668,"_1669":1670},"en",{"_1671":1706,"_1673":1707,"_1675":1708,"_1677":1709,"_1679":1710},"de",{"_1671":1701,"_1673":1702,"_1675":1703,"_1677":1704,"_1679":1705},"fr",{"_1671":1696,"_1673":1697,"_1675":1698,"_1677":1699,"_1679":1700},"it",{"_1671":1691,"_1673":1692,"_1675":1693,"_1677":1694,"_1679":1695},"es",{"_1671":1686,"_1673":1687,"_1675":1688,"_1677":1689,"_1679":1690},"pt",{"_1671":1681,"_1673":1682,"_1675":1683,"_1677":1684,"_1679":1685},"rm",{"_1671":1672,"_1673":1674,"_1675":1676,"_1677":1678,"_1679":1680},"cookie","Nus duvrain mo cookies essenzials e funcziunals. Nagina analitica, nagin tracking.","dataLang","La Svizra ha quatter linguas naziunalas, e questas datas datti en pliras da quellas. Intgins records èn plurilings, auters mo en ina lingua. Vus pudais tscherner en tge lingua ch'il cuntegn vegn mussà; sche vossa tscherna n'è betg disponibla per in record, vegnan duvradas las autras linguas en in urden da prioritad fix. Quai è independent da la lingua da l'interfatscha. As lascha reglar sut Configuraziuns › Lingua dal cuntegn (sura a dretga).","alt","Questa pagina è era disponibla per rumantsch.","switch","Mussar per rumantsch","dismiss","Betg pli mussar","Utilizamos apenas cookies essenciais e funcionais. Sem análises, sem rastreio.","A Suíça tem quatro línguas nacionais, e estes dados existem em várias delas. Alguns registos estão em várias línguas, outros apenas numa. Pode escolher em que idioma os conteúdos são apresentados; quando a sua escolha não está disponível para um registo, as restantes línguas são usadas por uma ordem de prioridade fixa. Isto é independente do idioma da interface. Configure em Definições › Idioma dos conteúdos (canto superior direito).","Esta página também está disponível em português.","Ver em português","Não mostrar novamente","Solo utilizamos cookies esenciales y funcionales. Sin análisis, sin seguimiento.","Suiza tiene cuatro lenguas nacionales, y estos datos existen en varias de ellas. Algunos registros están en varias lenguas, otros en una sola. Puede elegir en qué idioma se muestra el contenido; cuando su elección no está disponible para un registro, se utilizan las demás lenguas en un orden de prioridad fijo. Esto es independiente del idioma de la interfaz. Configúrelo en Ajustes › Idioma del contenido (arriba a la derecha).","Esta página también está disponible en español.","Ver en español","No volver a mostrar","Utilizziamo solo cookie essenziali e funzionali. Nessuna analisi, nessun tracciamento.","La Svizzera ha quattro lingue nazionali e questi dati esistono in diverse di esse. Alcune voci sono in più lingue, altre in una sola. Puoi scegliere in quale lingua mostrare i contenuti; se la tua scelta non è disponibile per una voce, vengono usate le altre lingue secondo un ordine di priorità prestabilito. Questo è indipendente dalla lingua dell'interfaccia. Impostabile in Impostazioni › Lingua del contenuto (in alto a destra).","Questa pagina è disponibile anche in italiano.","Vedi in italiano","Non mostrare più","Nous utilisons uniquement des cookies essentiels et fonctionnels. Aucune analyse, aucun suivi.","La Suisse a quatre langues nationales, et ces données existent dans plusieurs d'entre elles. Certaines entrées sont en plusieurs langues, d'autres dans une seule. Vous pouvez choisir la langue d'affichage du contenu ; si votre choix n'est pas disponible pour une entrée, les autres langues sont utilisées selon un ordre de priorité défini. Ceci est indépendant de la langue de l'interface. Réglable dans Paramètres › Langue du contenu (en haut à droite).","Cette page est aussi disponible en français.","Voir en français","Ne plus afficher","Wir verwenden nur essenzielle, funktionale Cookies. Keine Analyse, kein Tracking.","Die Schweiz hat vier Landessprachen, und diese Daten liegen in mehreren davon vor. Manche Einträge sind mehrsprachig, andere nur in einer Sprache. Sie können wählen, in welcher Sprache die Inhalte angezeigt werden; ist Ihre Wahl für einen Eintrag nicht verfügbar, werden die übrigen Sprachen in einer festen Prioritätsreihenfolge verwendet. Dies ist unabhängig von der Oberflächensprache. Einstellbar unter Einstellungen › Inhaltssprache (oben rechts).","Diese Seite ist auch auf Deutsch verfügbar.","Auf Deutsch anzeigen","Nicht mehr anzeigen","We use only essential, functional cookies. No analytics, no tracking.","Switzerland has four national languages, and this data comes in several of them. Some records are in multiple languages, some in only one. You can choose which language the content is shown in; when your choice isn't available for a record, the remaining languages are used in a set priority order. This is independent of the interface language. Set it under Settings › Content language (top right).","This page is also available in English.","View in English","Don't show again","settings",{"_1779":1780,"_1781":1782,"_1783":1138,"_1784":1785,"_1786":1140,"_1787":1142,"_1788":1789,"_1790":1791,"_1792":1793,"_1794":1795,"_1796":1797,"_614":615,"_1798":1799,"_1800":1801,"_1802":1803,"_1804":1805,"_1806":1807},"nav",{"_1601":1725,"_1726":1727,"_1728":665,"_1729":1730,"_1731":1732,"_1611":1612,"_1613":1614,"_1615":1616,"_1617":1618,"_1603":311,"_71":505,"_1605":396,"_1604":461,"_75":321,"_1609":428,"_1606":351,"_82":341,"_1607":331,"_1608":361,"_1610":371,"_1733":1718,"_1734":1735,"_1579":1580,"_1736":1737,"_1581":1582,"_1738":1739,"_1740":1741,"_1742":1743,"_1744":1745,"_1746":1747,"_1748":1749,"_1750":1751,"_1752":1753,"_1754":1755,"_1756":1757,"_1758":1759,"_1760":1761,"_1762":1763,"_1764":1765,"_1766":1767,"_1768":1769,"_1770":1771,"_1772":1722,"_1773":1774,"_1775":1776,"_1777":1778},{"_1671":1672,"_1673":1674,"_1675":1676,"_1677":1678,"_1679":1680},{"_1717":1718,"_1719":1720,"_1721":1722,"_1723":1724},"project.title","Project","project.desc","Davart parlhub: tge ch'il portal è, respostas a dumondas frequentas, e co che las datas van ensemen.","experiments.title","Experiments","experiments.desc","Analisas experimentalas e demonstraziuns metodologicas sin parlhub, inclusiv la skalaziun Wordfish da parlaments a partir da lur discurs.","parlhub pagina da partenza","skip_to_content","Sursiglir al cuntegn principal","explore","start","Cumenzar qua","start_desc","Colliaziuns svletas a chombras, chantuns e vischnancas","project","project_desc","Il project en in tup d'egl","about_desc","Tge che parlhub è e tgi che stat davos","faq_desc","Respostas a dumondas frequentas","sustainability","Durabilitad","sustainability_desc","Co che parlhub vegn hostà e tge quai custa a la planeta","accessibility","Accessibladad","accessibility_desc","Tge che funcziuna, tge betg, e co annunziar ina barriera","traffic_stats","Statistica dal traffic","traffic_stats_desc","Tge parts da la pagina vegnan dumandadas, e da tgi","imprint","Impressum","imprint_desc","Tgi che gestiunescha parlhub, contact e licenzas","github","GitHub","github_desc","Il code da funtauna dal project sin GitHub","data_guide","Guida da las datas","data_guide_desc","Mintga tip da datas, declerà simplamain, cun exempels","data_map","Charta da las datas","data_map_desc","Co che las datas van ensemen, en in tup d'egl","methodology","Metodologia","methodology_desc","Co che mintga valur vegn calculada, cun colliaziuns tar il code","experiments","experiments_desc","Analisas experimentalas e descripziuns da la metodologia","wordfish","Skalaziun Wordfish","wordfish_desc","Plazzar commembers sin in ass tenor ils pleds da lur discurs","menu_label","Configuraziuns","appearance","Apparientscha","theme","theme_system","Sistem","theme_light","theme_dark","font_size","Grondezza da la scrittira","font_size_decrease","Empitschnir la scrittira","font_size_increase","Engrondir la scrittira","high_contrast","Cuntrast aut","grayscale","Stgalas da gris","interface_language","Interfatscha","content_language","Lingua dal cuntegn","content_language_auto","Automatic (suonda l'interfatscha)","content_language_note","Lingua da las datas mussadas (nums, titels, texts). Independenta da l'interfatscha; sche in record n'è betg disponibel, vegn duvrada la proxima lingua.","content_language_priority","Prioritad",{"_1783":1809,"_1788":1810,"_1811":217,"_1812":201,"_1813":201,"_1814":217,"_1815":-5},"system",100,"show_cookie_consent_message","ui_high_contrast","ui_grayscale","msg_lang_hint","content_lang"]